Posts Tagged ‘Preforeclosure home’

(Please click on photo above for a downloadable PDF of the article written by Mike Orr of the Cromford Report; bullet points listed below)

Last month; in Metro Phoenix’s Real Estate Market we saw the supply of REOs increased substantially, short sales were stable and normal listings declined in number:

• REO listings grew 11% from 5,087 to 5,626 (Greater Phoenix, all types)
• Short Sales / Pre-foreclosure listings grew 1% from 16183 to 16,347 (Greater Phoenix, all types)
• Normal listings fell 5% from 18,123 to 17,226 (Greater Phoenix, all types)

• Because sales pricing is higher than last year, we saw a more significant 8.6% jump in dollar volume which is good news for the optimists.
• It seems likely that almost anyone who wants a "starter home" in 2010 and could get approved for a home loan has already purchased one before the Tax Credit expired at the end of April.
• Overall we can say with confidence that the luxury market is now showing strong signs of improvement while the low end end of the market is weakening significantly. The weakness in lender-owned homes is particularly noticeable, with REO sales volume down 36% year on year. 
• These annual charts are very slow to react to changes but confirm the bottom of the market is now over a year behind us.  The most important measures of real home pricing – the average price, median price and average $ per sq. ft. of homes that actually sell have been moving in a general upward direction for Greater Phoenix since April/May 2009.
• New notices of trustee sale dropped another 8% from April, to the lowest monthly number (6,471) since July 2008. Trustee sales also dropped 8% to 4,090, the lowest total since November 2009. 
• Nevertheless market distress remains very high and will dominate the market for at least the next two years. Short sales are becoming more significant as each month goes by, while lender-owned properties become gradually less so.
• The market is still fragile and although it has stabilized over the last year, we must caution that in the last several days the Cromford Market Index has been falling fast due to weakening demand matched with a fairly strong and stable supply.
• The biggest question we have right now:  Are the changes we have seen in the last month merely due to the end of the tax credit or are the result of more significant changes in the demand for housing??

Stay tuned for next months update and we hope to be able to answer that question for you.  In the meantime; if you’d like to discuss your particular situation with one of our very talented and experienced Realtors, please call us at 480-243-4242.

What does this mean to you if you live in Chandler?

• Of the homes currently active today:
• 47.2% are Short Sales &/or Pre-Foreclosures listed for sale at an average price of $102.12 per sqft
• 12.18% have already been Foreclosed and are “Lender Owned” (aka REO or Bank Owned) at an average price of $96.93 per sqft
• 40.62% are normal listings, new term “Equity” sales and are asking an average price of $147.75
• What actually sold last month (closed escrow) in Chandler:
• 28.76% were Short Sales that closed at an average price of $99.58 per sqft
• 37.17% were REO’s that closed at an average price of $96.93 per sqft
• 34.07% were Regular listings that closed at an average price per sqft of $122.91

Seems that if you are wondering where your next mortgage payment is coming from, you aren’t alone. 

Banks are finally beginning to see that they lose more money with a Foreclosure where they have to take over a property and remarket it to get it off their books.  It makes more sense for them to work with people in distress by approving their short sales! 

Many banks are trying to streamline their processes and that is why we are beginning to see more and more people opt for doing a Short Sale rather than stick their head in the sand and wait for the bank to come take back their asset (your home) in a Trustee Sale. 

Many sellers are starting to come back out on the market again; but most need to reduce their prices to actually get their homes sold ($147 vs $122 per sqft). We are also seeing many investors purchasing distressed properties and flipping them for an immediate return on their investments.

Homes that aren’t in distress are still high in demand because:

• The homes are typically better taken care of and aren’t “stripped” or trashed like so many of the pre/foreclosure homes are.
• The buyer can avoid those headaches that the various Banks and Lenders out there give when it comes to negotiating price.
• The buyer isn’t having to send in multiple offers and compete with others looking for a bargain.
• Many buyers run out of time and patience to wait on the banks with the lengthiness of their current processes.

Are you interested in seeing what this graph looks like in your area?  If so, click here to get started.  If you let us know, we’ll send one to you for your area (this report can also be done by Zip Code).  All of this data is provided by Mike Orr of the Cromford Report.